Bears favored to upset Packers at Lambeau Field

The Chicago Bears travel to Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin, this Sunday, October 11, 2026, for a noon kickoff at 1:00 p.m. ET on FOX. The stakes are high as the visiting squad enters with a 3-1 record while their hosts sit at 2-2.

Chicago has looked sharp offensively, averaging 28.0 points per game and holding opponents to just 16.2. Their turnover margin sits at plus-one, showing they keep possession well. Green Bay struggles on the scoring front, managing only 18.2 points a game while giving up 26.2. The Packers have lost two fumbles for every one they recovered, ending with a minus-two turnover margin.

Betting odds list Chicago as 1.5-point favorites against the home team. Sportsbooks set the total score at 44.5 points and offer moneyline payouts of -110 for the Bears and -107 for Green Bay. Viewers can stream the action by watching FOX One, which offers three days free access before the broadcast.

The game plan in Chicago relies heavily on the running game, though quarterback Tyson Bagent steps into the shotgun formation for two of their four contests so far. He has thrown 322 yards out of 43 attempts with one interception and no touchdowns. His strongest performance came against the Jets on October 4 when he finished 25-of-34 for 268 yards in a 23-12 victory.

Green Bay has surrendered 105 points through four games, which works out to roughly 26.25 points per outing. Their defense has allowed big chunks of scoring, forcing their offense to generate the numbers alone. The Packers rely on Jordan Love for nearly three-quarters of their yardage average, totaling 307.3 yards per game with 249.3 coming through the air. Love has posted 1,041 passing yards and eight touchdowns, throwing exactly two scores in each of his starts. He completed 22-of-30 passes for 197 yards against Tampa Bay on October 4.

Chicago's secondary keeps points down by allowing just 65 total through four games, or 16.25 per contest. That low scoreline means receivers like Matthew Golden must count every snap in Green Bay. Golden has hauled in 18 catches for 274 yards and two touchdowns on 37 targets. His best day included five receptions for 100 yards and a score against Atlanta on September 24, featuring a 45-yard gain.

Chicago forces opponents to hurry with a third-down conversion rate of 47.4 percent, ranking sixth in the NFL. Those extended possessions starve Green Bay receivers of opportunities, making targets like Golden essential for driving down the field. The Bears' defense has kept the scoring low, which limits how often Love can find his open men.

Fans looking for more details on this matchup should check the full schedule on FOX Sports. Creating an account or logging in lets users follow specific teams and players to get a personalized newsletter with great stories delivered daily.